Tonight’s fight between Saul “El Canelo” Alvarez vs Ryan Rhodes plans to be Canelo’s first real test in the big leagues of the junior middleweight division. Canelo who weighed in at 153.2 lbs against Rhodes who weighed in at 152.8 lbs should be a fight where one will get to see if all the hype of Canelo is legit or if Canelo a product of Televisa who happens to be blown up at such a young age.
I must admit, I was one of the boxing fans who felt that Canelo’s fight against Matthew Hatton should not have been a title fight. Now, he gets to make his first title defense against a ranked opponent. Ryan Rhodes is not going to be a walk in the park for Canelo even though he is going to Mexico to try and take away the belt away from Alvarez. Ryan’s experience should give him an advantage in that category. I’m interested to see how Rhodes plans to start the fight. If Rhodes gets in a rhythm in the early rounds and starts to out jab Canelo in the beginning of those rounds, it may put Canelo in the defensive and take him away from the fight. If Rhodes does this he may pull the upset of the night.
Canelo on the other hand should not get too impatient. He should stick to his game plan and take the fight to Rhodes. Canelo should work the body and land those beautiful combinations. Canelo should lead with his jab and be very cautious to Rhodes counter punches. It will be interesting to see if Canelo has made improvements in his defense.
I think Canelo’s speed, power and youth will be the difference in the fight. Rhodes will have couple of good rounds but I think the last rounds will be very crucial for both fighters. There is a chance of Rhodes pulling the upset and that will only happen if Canelo has not improved his defense. If Canelo fights Rhodes the same way he fought Hatton, he is going to get knocked out.
I have Canelo winning a very close fight. I feel it will be the middle rounds where Canelo will start to develop his rhythm and gain more confidence. If Canelo wins via knock out it will be around the 10th or 11th round but I have him winning a decision.